Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 78)

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Line Horse
Winter Pearl
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Nordic Chief         4    58.5    1    0.00     6.0   82    63           63    -19
2    Wyag                 2    58.0    2    0.75     3.5   74    67           67    -7
3    Michael Faraday      2    59.5    3    1.25     3.5   77    70           70    -7
4    Winter Pearl         6    59.5    4    1.55     0.0   77    77           77    +0
5    Benjamin             4    61.0    5    1.60     6.0   80    68           70    -10
6    Raf's Rocket         2    58.0    6    2.60     3.5   81    67           71    -10
7    Steadfast            2    59.0    7    3.35     3.5   83    69           73    -10
8    Plaza Accord         2    61.0    8    3.45     3.5   87    73           77    -10
9    Aberdeen             2    60.0    9    3.75     3.5   85    71           75    -10
10   Night Tiger          5    62.0    10   4.25     0.0   82    82           82    +0
11   Open Highway         4    57.5    11   4.65     6.0   80    61           70    -10
12   Fort Red             4    60.0    12   5.15     6.0   78    66           68    -10
13   Hard Winter          2    56.5    13   7.40     3.5   78    64           68    -10
14   The Tinkerman        3    60.5    14   8.65     5.0   79    69           69    -10
15   Lines Crossed        2    58.5    15   22.15    3.5   82    68           72    -10
99   King's Ransom        4    58.5    99   0.00     6.0   -     63           63    +0
99   Mighty Mac           5    56.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     71           71    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Nordic Chief 82 94 63 +31 6.0 -
2 Wyag 74 74 67 +7 3.5 -
3 Michael Faraday 77 68 70 -2 3.5 -
4 Winter Pearl Line 77 71 77 -6 0.0
5 Benjamin 80 75 70 +5 6.0 -
6 Raf's Rocket 81 77 71 +6 3.5 -
7 Steadfast 83 75 73 +2 3.5 -
8 Plaza Accord 87 84 77 +7 3.5 -
9 Aberdeen 85 74 75 -1 3.5 -
10 Night Tiger 82 67 82 -15 0.0 -
11 Open Highway 80 94 70 +24 6.0 -
12 Fort Red 78 66 68 -2 6.0 -
13 Hard Winter 78 72 68 +4 3.5 -
14 The Tinkerman 79 76 69 +7 5.0 -
15 Lines Crossed 82 82 72 +10 3.5 -
99 King's Ransom - 89 63 +26 6.0 -
99 Mighty Mac - 52 71 -19 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points