Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: CAPE RACING SALES OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Tambourine Man
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Simply Beautiful 3 57.0 1 0.00 5.0 68 53 53 -15 2 Sooty 4 61.0 2 0.75 6.0 - 59 59 +59 3 Tambourine Man 5 56.5 3 2.00 0.0 62 62 62 +0 4 Congressman 4 61.0 4 4.00 6.0 - 59 59 +59 5 Mystery Cache 2 61.0 5 4.50 3.5 78 64 68 -10 6 Mc Dazzler 2 61.0 6 4.80 3.5 - 64 64 +64 7 Einstein 3 61.0 7 5.80 5.0 - 61 61 +61 8 Salute The Flag 3 61.0 8 6.55 5.0 - 61 61 +61 9 Lady Loxton 4 55.5 9 6.75 6.0 72 48 62 -10 10 Aquila Gold 4 61.0 10 6.80 6.0 - 59 59 +59 11 Pleasedtoseeyou 3 61.0 11 9.05 5.0 - 61 61 +61 12 Golden Grey 4 60.0 12 9.45 6.0 76 57 66 -10 13 Colonel Green 3 56.5 13 10.95 5.0 69 52 59 -10 14 Midway 3 61.0 14 12.45 5.0 - 61 61 +61 15 Blame It On Me 4 61.0 15 16.95 6.0 - 59 59 +59 16 J Roops 2 61.0 16 20.95 3.5 - 64 64 +64 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simply Beautiful | 68 | 55 | 53 | +2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Sooty | - | 75 | 59 | +16 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Tambourine Man Line | 62 | 64 | 62 | +2 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Congressman | - | 93 | 59 | +34 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Mystery Cache | 78 | 70 | 68 | +2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Mc Dazzler | - | 54 | 64 | -10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Einstein | - | 74 | 61 | +13 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Salute The Flag | - | 81 | 61 | +20 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Lady Loxton | 72 | 57 | 62 | -5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Aquila Gold | - | 56 | 59 | -3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 11 | Pleasedtoseeyou | - | 65 | 61 | +4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | Golden Grey | 76 | 64 | 66 | -2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 13 | Colonel Green | 69 | 62 | 59 | +3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 14 | Midway | - | 65 | 61 | +4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 15 | Blame It On Me | - | 65 | 59 | +6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 16 | J Roops | - | 58 | 64 | -6 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points