Official NHA Assessment

Race 5: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION FM 68 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

Line Horse
Cerulean Dancer
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Mighty Goddess       2    58.0    1    0.00     0.0   64    61           64    +0
2    Cerulean Dancer      2    56.0    2    1.75     0.0   60    60           60    +0
3    Della's Sword        3    52.5    3    1.80     5.0   53    43           43    -10
4    Count Your Chances   5    55.0    4    2.75     0.0   58    57           57    -1
5    Risky Business       3    54.5    5    3.75     5.0   57    45           47    -10
6    Gilda Gray           3    53.5    6    4.00     5.0   63    43           53    -10
7    Woodland Glade       2    60.5    7    4.50     0.0   79    66           69    -10
8    Solo Diva            3    57.0    8    6.25     5.0   62    49           52    -10
9    Bad Hair Day         2    52.0    9    7.25     0.0   52    49           49    -3
99   Run For Isla         3    56.5    99   0.00     5.0   -     48           48    +0
99   Kittyboys Girl       2    57.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     60           60    +0
99   Ashanti Sword        2    58.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     62           62    +0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Mighty Goddess 64 73 64 +9 0.0 -
2 Cerulean Dancer Line 60 71 60 +11 0.0
3 Della's Sword 53 56 43 +13 5.0 -
4 Count Your Chances 58 51 57 -6 0.0 -
5 Risky Business 57 75 47 +28 5.0 -
6 Gilda Gray 63 64 53 +11 5.0 -
7 Woodland Glade 79 76 69 +7 0.0 -
8 Solo Diva 62 65 52 +13 5.0 -
9 Bad Hair Day 52 47 49 -2 0.0 -
99 Run For Isla - 58 48 +10 5.0 -
99 Kittyboys Girl - 59 60 -1 0.0 -
99 Ashanti Sword - 52 62 -10 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points