Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION FM 68 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Cerulean Dancer
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Mighty Goddess 2 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 64 61 64 +0 2 Cerulean Dancer 2 56.0 2 1.75 0.0 60 60 60 +0 3 Della's Sword 3 52.5 3 1.80 5.0 53 43 43 -10 4 Count Your Chances 5 55.0 4 2.75 0.0 58 57 57 -1 5 Risky Business 3 54.5 5 3.75 5.0 57 45 47 -10 6 Gilda Gray 3 53.5 6 4.00 5.0 63 43 53 -10 7 Woodland Glade 2 60.5 7 4.50 0.0 79 66 69 -10 8 Solo Diva 3 57.0 8 6.25 5.0 62 49 52 -10 9 Bad Hair Day 2 52.0 9 7.25 0.0 52 49 49 -3 99 Run For Isla 3 56.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 48 48 +0 99 Kittyboys Girl 2 57.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 60 60 +0 99 Ashanti Sword 2 58.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 62 62 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mighty Goddess | 64 | 73 | 64 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Cerulean Dancer Line | 60 | 71 | 60 | +11 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Della's Sword | 53 | 56 | 43 | +13 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Count Your Chances | 58 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Risky Business | 57 | 75 | 47 | +28 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Gilda Gray | 63 | 64 | 53 | +11 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Woodland Glade | 79 | 76 | 69 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Solo Diva | 62 | 65 | 52 | +13 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Bad Hair Day | 52 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Run For Isla | - | 58 | 48 | +10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Kittyboys Girl | - | 59 | 60 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Ashanti Sword | - | 52 | 62 | -10 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points