Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING TUESDAY 23 JANUARY FM 80 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Berengaria
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 There She Goes 6 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 80 95 80 +0 2 Sigrid Swing 4 58.5 2 0.25 6.0 84 80 80 -4 3 Berengaria 2 56.5 3 3.25 3.5 81 81 81 +0 4 Lil Miss Moneybags 3 56.5 4 3.30 5.0 73 78 78 +5 5 Dolcezza 2 61.0 5 3.75 3.5 89 90 90 +1 6 Southern Style 5 52.5 6 5.00 0.0 65 80 80 +15 7 Princess Ilaria 5 57.0 7 5.25 0.0 74 89 89 +15 8 Primrose Path 2 53.5 8 6.00 3.5 75 75 75 +0 9 Kill Shot 2 52.5 9 8.50 3.5 65 73 73 +8 10 Meteoric 3 59.5 10 9.75 5.0 79 84 84 +5 11 Blue Waters 2 52.0 11 10.00 3.5 52 72 72 +20 12 Divine Moonlight 4 57.5 12 10.25 6.0 82 78 78 -4 99 Mia Fiore 4 56.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 75 75 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | There She Goes | 80 | 77 | 80 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Sigrid Swing | 84 | 70 | 80 | -10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Berengaria Line | 81 | 79 | 81 | -2 | 3.5 | ||
| 4 | Lil Miss Moneybags | 73 | 70 | 78 | -8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Dolcezza | 89 | 73 | 90 | -17 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Southern Style | 65 | 54 | 80 | -26 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Princess Ilaria | 74 | 79 | 89 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Primrose Path | 75 | 77 | 75 | +2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Kill Shot | 65 | 54 | 73 | -19 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Meteoric | 79 | 76 | 84 | -8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Blue Waters | 52 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 3.5 | - | |
| 12 | Divine Moonlight | 82 | 75 | 78 | -3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Mia Fiore | - | 77 | 75 | +2 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points