Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: BOOK FOR CHAMPIONS DAY 29 MARCH MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Arilena
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Var Park 5 60.5 1 0.00 0.0 81 81 81 +0 2 Tchaikovsky 6 60.5 2 0.75 0.0 81 81 81 +0 3 Arilena 6 57.5 3 1.25 0.0 75 75 75 +0 4 Nkandla Gold 4 59.5 4 1.35 4.0 79 71 71 -8 5 Tiger Storm 3 59.0 5 1.45 3.5 83 71 73 -10 6 Kinshin Sha 4 60.0 6 1.55 4.0 80 72 72 -8 7 Beamonesque 4 58.0 7 2.65 4.0 76 68 68 -8 8 Sea Wolf 3 60.0 8 2.90 3.5 85 73 75 -10 9 King Of Kildare 3 60.5 9 4.20 3.5 86 74 76 -10 10 Thunderbird 4 54.5 10 5.00 4.0 69 61 61 -8 11 Wings Of Nike 6 56.5 11 7.00 0.0 73 73 73 +0 12 Covert Operator 6 59.5 12 11.25 0.0 79 79 79 +0 13 Bregardt 4 52.0 13 21.50 4.0 59 56 56 -3 99 Lonely As A Cloud 3 56.5 99 0.00 3.5 - 66 66 +0 99 The Navy Lark 4 58.5 99 0.00 4.0 - 69 69 +0 99 Qhawe Lami 4 62.0 99 0.00 4.0 - 76 76 +0 99 Thymetoshine 5 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 64 64 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Var Park | 81 | 87 | 81 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Tchaikovsky | 81 | 81 | 81 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Arilena Line | 75 | 75 | 75 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Nkandla Gold | 79 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Tiger Storm | 83 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Kinshin Sha | 80 | 62 | 72 | -10 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | Beamonesque | 76 | 76 | 68 | +8 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Sea Wolf | 85 | 87 | 75 | +12 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | King Of Kildare | 86 | 81 | 76 | +5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Thunderbird | 69 | 70 | 61 | +9 | 4.0 | - | |
| 11 | Wings Of Nike | 73 | 68 | 73 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Covert Operator | 79 | 77 | 79 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Bregardt | 59 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Lonely As A Cloud | - | 71 | 66 | +5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | The Navy Lark | - | 74 | 69 | +5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Qhawe Lami | - | 80 | 76 | +4 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Thymetoshine | - | 51 | 64 | -13 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points