Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: BETWAY SWALLOW STAKES (Listed) (For 3 year-old Fillies)
Line Horse
Cullinan Blue
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Troppo Veloce 2 58.0 1 0.00 3.5 106 103 103 -3 2 One Fell Swoop 2 58.0 2 0.10 3.5 96 103 103 +7 3 Cullinan Blue 2 58.0 3 0.90 3.5 103 103 103 +0 4 Moving In 4 58.0 4 6.25 6.0 95 98 98 +3 5 Foreverinmydreams 2 58.0 5 7.25 3.5 91 103 103 +12 6 Leaving Las Vegas 2 60.0 6 7.75 3.5 98 107 107 +9 7 Love Tap 3 58.0 7 8.75 5.0 77 100 100 +23 8 Happy Analia 4 58.0 8 9.00 6.0 82 98 98 +16 9 Whirlybird 2 58.0 9 10.00 3.5 88 103 103 +15 10 Hillary Step 3 58.0 10 15.00 5.0 77 100 100 +23 99 Dolcezza 2 58.0 99 0.00 3.5 - 103 103 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Troppo Veloce | 106 | 104 | 103 | +1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | One Fell Swoop | 96 | 97 | 103 | -6 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Cullinan Blue Line | 103 | 106 | 103 | +3 | 3.5 | ||
| 4 | Moving In | 95 | 66 | 98 | -32 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Foreverinmydreams | 91 | 92 | 103 | -11 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Leaving Las Vegas | 98 | 89 | 107 | -18 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Love Tap | 77 | 69 | 100 | -31 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Happy Analia | 82 | 78 | 98 | -20 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Whirlybird | 88 | 73 | 103 | -30 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Hillary Step | 77 | 82 | 100 | -18 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Dolcezza | - | 73 | 103 | -30 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points