Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: MICHAEL ROBERTS STAKES (For All Horses - Non-Black Type)
Line Horse
Queue Wing
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Bella Siccome 3 51.0 1 0.00 6.0 88 70 70 -18 2 Cape Eagle 7 60.0 2 1.00 0.0 103 104 104 +1 3 Formagear 5 59.5 3 1.10 0.0 103 103 103 +0 4 Queue Wing 7 56.0 4 1.80 0.0 95 95 95 +0 5 Addabar 3 57.0 5 2.40 6.0 98 84 88 -10 6 Down To Business 2 58.0 6 2.80 0.0 100 98 98 -2 7 News Stream 6 53.5 7 4.90 0.0 88 87 87 -1 8 Capetown Beauty 3 51.5 8 7.60 6.0 91 71 81 -10 9 Rockie Reef 3 57.0 9 9.20 6.0 102 82 92 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bella Siccome | 88 | 93 | 70 | +23 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Cape Eagle | 103 | 106 | 104 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Formagear | 103 | 108 | 103 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Queue Wing Line | 95 | 81 | 95 | -14 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Addabar | 98 | 97 | 88 | +9 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Down To Business | 100 | 100 | 98 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | News Stream | 88 | 83 | 87 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Capetown Beauty | 91 | 76 | 81 | -5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Rockie Reef | 102 | 97 | 92 | +5 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points