Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 76 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Sovereign Grant
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
15 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Sting Ray 3 55.5 1 0.00 5.0 67 76 67 +0 2 Tara Star 4 58.5 2 0.60 6.0 83 80 80 -3 3 Sovereign Grant 4 59.5 3 0.80 6.0 82 82 82 +0 4 Western Wishes 5 60.0 4 2.20 0.0 76 95 95 +19 5 Kitten's Adventure 3 56.5 5 3.90 5.0 69 78 78 +9 6 Mia's Athena 2 60.5 6 4.50 3.5 84 89 89 +5 7 Kisshoten 3 58.0 7 5.20 5.0 79 81 81 +2 8 Juniper Green 4 60.5 8 6.00 6.0 84 84 84 +0 9 Le Premiere 4 58.5 9 6.40 6.0 80 80 80 +0 10 Hugsandhighfives 5 58.5 10 7.50 0.0 73 92 92 +19 11 Lady Lacewing 2 61.0 11 9.30 3.5 85 90 90 +5 12 Trentino 2 58.0 12 9.80 3.5 72 84 84 +12 13 Contra Fiscum 2 55.0 13 14.90 3.5 81 78 78 -3 14 Status Quo 3 59.5 14 15.70 5.0 82 84 84 +2 15 Palm Breeze 3 58.0 15 16.80 5.0 72 81 81 +9 16 Grecian Palace 2 55.5 16 19.50 3.5 74 79 79 +5 99 Celtic Beauty 4 59.5 99 0.00 6.0 - 82 82 +0 99 A Time To Dance 3 53.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 72 72 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sting Ray | 67 | 73 | 67 | +6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Tara Star | 83 | 96 | 80 | +16 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Sovereign Grant Line | 82 | 92 | 82 | +10 | 6.0 | ||
| 4 | Western Wishes | 76 | 74 | 95 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Kitten's Adventure | 69 | 58 | 78 | -20 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Mia's Athena | 84 | 77 | 89 | -12 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Kisshoten | 79 | 107 | 81 | +26 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Juniper Green | 84 | 87 | 84 | +3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Le Premiere | 80 | 84 | 80 | +4 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Hugsandhighfives | 73 | 63 | 92 | -29 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Lady Lacewing | 85 | 58 | 90 | -32 | 3.5 | - | |
| 12 | Trentino | 72 | 54 | 84 | -30 | 3.5 | - | |
| 13 | Contra Fiscum | 81 | 76 | 78 | -2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 14 | Status Quo | 82 | 58 | 84 | -26 | 5.0 | - | |
| 15 | Palm Breeze | 72 | 66 | 81 | -15 | 5.0 | - | |
| 16 | Grecian Palace | 74 | 62 | 79 | -17 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Celtic Beauty | - | 96 | 82 | +14 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | A Time To Dance | - | 60 | 72 | -12 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points