Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Purple Powahouse
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Trafalgar Square 6 57.5 1 0.00 0.0 61 61 61 +0 2 Big Slick 2 55.0 2 1.90 3.5 64 49 54 -10 3 Purple Powahouse 8 57.5 3 3.60 0.0 61 61 61 +0 4 High Velocity 4 53.0 4 4.00 6.0 52 40 42 -10 5 Phaka Imali 3 59.5 5 5.30 5.0 65 55 55 -10 6 Knight Warrior 5 60.0 6 5.55 0.0 66 66 66 +0 7 Majorca Palace 4 57.0 7 6.15 6.0 60 48 50 -10 8 Magwinya 2 52.0 8 7.75 3.5 50 43 43 -7 9 Victor Rail 5 58.0 9 8.35 0.0 70 62 62 -8 10 Lazy Guy 4 56.5 10 9.85 6.0 62 47 52 -10 11 Granddaddy Purple 3 52.0 11 15.55 5.0 50 40 40 -10 12 Quiz Master 3 57.0 12 99.99 5.0 60 50 50 -10 99 Cannatonic 3 56.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 49 49 +0 99 Galla Vanting 2 61.5 99 0.00 3.5 - 62 62 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trafalgar Square | 61 | 69 | 61 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Big Slick | 64 | 64 | 54 | +10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Purple Powahouse Line | 61 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | High Velocity | 52 | 50 | 42 | +8 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Phaka Imali | 65 | 62 | 55 | +7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Knight Warrior | 66 | 74 | 66 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Majorca Palace | 60 | 51 | 50 | +1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Magwinya | 50 | 50 | 43 | +7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Victor Rail | 70 | 61 | 62 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Lazy Guy | 62 | 61 | 52 | +9 | 6.0 | - | |
| 11 | Granddaddy Purple | 50 | 50 | 40 | +10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | Quiz Master | 60 | 60 | 50 | +10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Cannatonic | - | 48 | 49 | -1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Galla Vanting | - | 54 | 62 | -8 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points