Official NHA Assessment

Race 2: MOBILE BETTING VISIT www.trackandball.co.za MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)

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Line Horse
Heaven's Will
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
12 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Yannakis             2    60.0    1    0.00     3.5   80    3            3     -77
2    Run To Rio           4    60.0    2    0.90     6.0   76    -2           66    -10
3    Captain Marsala      2    60.0    3    3.10     3.5   86    3            76    -10
4    Heaven's Will        3    60.0    4    4.40     5.0   -     -            -     +0
5    Someday Maybe        3    57.5    5    5.00     5.0   60    -5           50    -10
6    Isorender            2    60.0    6    7.50     3.5   75    3            65    -10
7    General Byng         2    60.0    7    8.40     3.5   72    3            62    -10
8    Castle Mey           3    58.5    8    12.10    5.0   -     -3           -     +0
9    Atlantic Eagle       2    60.0    9    14.30    3.5   48    3            38    -10
10   Global Entity        3    60.0    10   17.20    5.0   -     -            -     +0
11   Avro Prince          3    60.0    11   18.10    5.0   -     -            -     +0
12   Richardthefearless   3    60.0    12   22.00    5.0   -     -            -     +0
99   Mohave Man           2    60.0    99   0.00     3.5   -     3            3     +0
99   Magma Magic          4    60.0    99   0.00     6.0   -     -2           -2    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Yannakis 80 67 3 +64 3.5 -
2 Run To Rio 76 71 66 +5 6.0 -
3 Captain Marsala 86 68 76 -8 3.5 -
4 Heaven's Will Line - 62 - +62 5.0
5 Someday Maybe 60 56 50 +6 5.0 -
6 Isorender 75 63 65 -2 3.5 -
7 General Byng 72 75 62 +13 3.5 -
8 Castle Mey - 61 - +61 5.0 -
9 Atlantic Eagle 48 48 38 +10 3.5 -
10 Global Entity - 46 - +46 5.0 -
11 Avro Prince - 74 - +74 5.0 -
12 Richardthefearless - 83 - +83 5.0 -
99 Mohave Man - 60 3 +57 3.5 -
99 Magma Magic - 81 -2 +83 6.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points