Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 86 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Mr Henley
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Ishnana              7    57.5    1    0.00     0.0   81    88           81    +0
2    Now I Got You        5    57.5    2    0.60     0.0   81    88           88    +7
3    Master Josh          2    59.0    3    1.50     3.5   84    84           84    +0
4    Mr Henley            2    57.5    4    1.60     3.5   81    81           81    +0
5    Parmenion            5    55.5    5    2.00     0.0   77    84           84    +7
6    Licence To Thrill    4    57.0    6    2.50     6.0   87    75           77    -10
7    Mountainsofthemoon   2    56.5    7    3.70     3.5   86    79           79    -7
8    Patronage            4    56.5    8    4.70     6.0   82    74           74    -8
9    Tribute To You       4    59.5    9    6.40     6.0   90    80           80    -10
99   Harley Street        3    56.0    99   0.00     5.0   -     75           75    +0
99   Canford Ice          2    57.0    99   0.00     3.5   -     80           80    +0
99   Lord Wylie           7    59.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     91           91    +0
99   Donquerari           5    60.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     93           93    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Ishnana 81 83 81 +2 0.0 -
2 Now I Got You 81 67 88 -21 0.0 -
3 Master Josh 84 97 84 +13 3.5 -
4 Mr Henley Line 81 82 81 +1 3.5
5 Parmenion 77 78 84 -6 0.0 -
6 Licence To Thrill 87 98 77 +21 6.0 -
7 Mountainsofthemoon 86 65 79 -14 3.5 -
8 Patronage 82 76 74 +2 6.0 -
9 Tribute To You 90 90 80 +10 6.0 -
99 Harley Street - 81 75 +6 5.0 -
99 Canford Ice - 82 80 +2 3.5 -
99 Lord Wylie - 69 91 -22 0.0 -
99 Donquerari - 86 93 -7 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points