Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Sage King
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Warhawk Bomber 2 56.5 1 0.00 0.0 82 82 82 +0 2 Sage King 3 55.0 2 1.40 5.0 72 72 72 +0 3 Holocene 4 52.5 3 2.15 2.5 77 72 72 -5 4 Willow Express 7 60.0 4 3.95 0.0 77 90 90 +13 5 Light Of Day 5 60.5 5 7.55 0.0 75 90 90 +15 6 Back To The Future 2 59.0 6 7.75 0.0 75 87 87 +12 7 Hakas Krakas 3 59.5 7 11.50 5.0 73 78 78 +5 8 Libeccio 5 48.0 8 17.00 0.0 57 65 65 +8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warhawk Bomber | 82 | 80 | 82 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Sage King Line | 72 | 72 | 72 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Holocene | 77 | 76 | 72 | +4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Willow Express | 77 | 82 | 90 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Light Of Day | 75 | 61 | 90 | -29 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Back To The Future | 75 | 74 | 87 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Hakas Krakas | 73 | 65 | 78 | -13 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Libeccio | 57 | 62 | 65 | -3 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points