Official NHA Assessment

Race 5: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Sage King
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Warhawk Bomber       2    56.5    1    0.00     0.0   82    82           82    +0
2    Sage King            3    55.0    2    1.40     5.0   72    72           72    +0
3    Holocene             4    52.5    3    2.15     2.5   77    72           72    -5
4    Willow Express       7    60.0    4    3.95     0.0   77    90           90    +13
5    Light Of Day         5    60.5    5    7.55     0.0   75    90           90    +15
6    Back To The Future   2    59.0    6    7.75     0.0   75    87           87    +12
7    Hakas Krakas         3    59.5    7    11.50    5.0   73    78           78    +5
8    Libeccio             5    48.0    8    17.00    0.0   57    65           65    +8
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Warhawk Bomber 82 80 82 -2 0.0 -
2 Sage King Line 72 72 72 ✓ Match 5.0
3 Holocene 77 76 72 +4 2.5 -
4 Willow Express 77 82 90 -8 0.0 -
5 Light Of Day 75 61 90 -29 0.0 -
6 Back To The Future 75 74 87 -13 0.0 -
7 Hakas Krakas 73 65 78 -13 5.0 -
8 Libeccio 57 62 65 -3 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points