Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: BSA NATIONAL YEARLING SALE PROGRESS PLATE (For Maidens & 1,2 & 3 time winners)
Line Horse
Duchess Of War
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 6
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 6
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 6
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Buster Barnes 2 56.5 1 0.00 0.0 83 62 62 -21 2 Aerial Display 5 57.5 2 6.00 0.0 77 64 67 -10 3 Duchess Of War 2 57.0 3 6.50 0.0 63 63 63 +0 4 Walking Thru Time 3 57.0 4 7.00 5.0 73 53 63 -10 5 Bruce's Spirit 6 60.0 5 10.00 0.0 65 69 69 +4 6 Follow The Band 2 54.0 6 12.00 0.0 56 57 57 +1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buster Barnes | 83 | 101 | 62 | +39 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Aerial Display | 77 | 68 | 67 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Duchess Of War Line | 63 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Walking Thru Time | 73 | 73 | 63 | +10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Bruce's Spirit | 65 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Follow The Band | 56 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points