Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: PONGRACZ OLYMPIC DUEL STAKES (Listed) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Miss Marguerite
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
13 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ripple Effect 2 55.5 1 0.00 3.5 104 90 90 -14 2 Siddeley 2 52.0 2 1.00 3.5 92 83 83 -9 3 Hunting Trip 2 55.0 3 1.40 3.5 96 89 89 -7 4 Shantastic 2 61.0 4 1.60 3.5 108 101 101 -7 5 Miss Marguerite 5 56.5 5 1.65 0.0 99 99 99 +0 6 Enemy Territory (IR 3 55.5 6 2.65 5.0 98 87 88 -10 7 Winter Cloud 2 56.5 7 3.90 3.5 108 92 98 -10 8 Blue Holly 4 53.5 8 4.90 6.0 100 81 90 -10 9 Pacific Green 2 52.0 9 5.30 3.5 91 83 83 -8 10 Oni San 2 52.0 10 5.50 3.5 98 83 88 -10 11 Miss Greenlight 3 52.0 11 5.80 5.0 90 80 80 -10 12 Distinction 2 52.0 12 5.85 3.5 92 83 83 -9 13 Distant Winter 2 56.5 13 13.10 3.5 108 92 98 -10 14 Highlyconfidential 2 52.5 14 13.50 3.5 92 84 84 -8 99 Winter Greeting 5 59.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 105 105 +0 99 Coldhardstare 2 53.5 99 0.00 3.5 - 86 86 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ripple Effect | 104 | 102 | 90 | +12 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Siddeley | 92 | 105 | 83 | +22 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Hunting Trip | 96 | 96 | 89 | +7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | Shantastic | 108 | 109 | 101 | +8 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Miss Marguerite Line | 99 | 91 | 99 | -8 | 0.0 | ||
| 6 | Enemy Territory (IRE) | 98 | 99 | 88 | +11 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Winter Cloud | 108 | 114 | 98 | +16 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Blue Holly | 100 | 85 | 90 | -5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Pacific Green | 91 | 91 | 83 | +8 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Oni San | 98 | 78 | 88 | -10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Miss Greenlight | 90 | 100 | 80 | +20 | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | Distinction | 92 | 97 | 83 | +14 | 3.5 | - | |
| 13 | Distant Winter | 108 | 106 | 98 | +8 | 3.5 | - | |
| 14 | Highlyconfidential | 92 | 86 | 84 | +2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Winter Greeting | - | 104 | 105 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Coldhardstare | - | 94 | 86 | +8 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points