Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: CAPE RACING GOLD RUSH (For 3-year-olds (Non-Black Type))
Line Horse
Just Be Lekker
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 19
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 19
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
15 / 19
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Rapidash 2 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 97 105 103 +6 2 Coastal Commander 4 60.0 2 0.20 2.5 86 100 100 +14 3 Tail Of The Comet 4 60.0 3 2.45 2.5 106 102 102 -4 4 Just Be Lekker 4 57.5 4 2.65 2.5 97 97 97 +0 5 Infrared 3 60.0 5 4.40 5.0 88 95 95 +7 6 Bavarian Beauty 2 57.5 6 6.65 0.0 112 100 102 -10 7 Pritti Victory 3 57.5 7 7.05 5.0 80 90 90 +10 8 Nocturnal Flight 3 60.0 8 7.45 5.0 65 95 95 +30 9 Winter Rainfall 4 57.5 9 7.50 2.5 95 95 95 +0 10 King Of The Gauls 3 60.0 10 7.80 5.0 93 95 95 +2 11 Ready To Charge 2 60.0 11 8.20 0.0 108 105 105 -3 12 Kupholiwe 2 60.0 12 8.60 0.0 97 105 105 +8 13 Willie John 3 60.0 13 10.35 5.0 90 95 95 +5 14 Sunshine Day 4 57.5 14 10.40 2.5 90 95 95 +5 15 Tamil Tigress 2 57.5 15 15.40 0.0 87 100 100 +13 16 King Of Spin 3 60.0 16 19.65 5.0 84 95 95 +11 99 Escarpment 4 60.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 100 100 +0 99 Champagne Mac 4 60.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 100 100 +0 99 Storm Brasco 4 60.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 100 100 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapidash | 97 | 107 | 103 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Coastal Commander | 86 | 77 | 100 | -23 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Tail Of The Comet | 106 | 79 | 102 | -23 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Just Be Lekker Line | 97 | 113 | 97 | +16 | 2.5 | ||
| 5 | Infrared | 88 | 101 | 95 | +6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Bavarian Beauty | 112 | 109 | 102 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Pritti Victory | 80 | 94 | 90 | +4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Nocturnal Flight | 65 | 72 | 95 | -23 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Winter Rainfall | 95 | 87 | 95 | -8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | King Of The Gauls | 93 | 113 | 95 | +18 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Ready To Charge | 108 | 110 | 105 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Kupholiwe | 97 | 94 | 105 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Willie John | 90 | 84 | 95 | -11 | 5.0 | - | |
| 14 | Sunshine Day | 90 | 69 | 95 | -26 | 2.5 | - | |
| 15 | Tamil Tigress | 87 | 77 | 100 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 16 | King Of Spin | 84 | 91 | 95 | -4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Escarpment | - | 79 | 100 | -21 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Champagne Mac | - | 55 | 100 | -45 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Storm Brasco | - | 93 | 100 | -7 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points