Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: NEW TURF CARRIERS WESTERN CAPE STAYERS (Grade 3) (Open to horses aged 3 years or older)
Line Horse
Nebraas
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Master Redoute 3 59.0 1 0.00 8.0 102 91 91 -11 2 Triple Time 5 57.5 2 0.05 0.0 108 104 104 -4 3 Aragosta 3 59.0 3 0.25 8.0 118 91 108 -10 4 Nebraas 8 59.0 4 0.75 0.0 112 112 112 +0 5 One Way Traffic 4 59.0 5 1.75 4.5 106 102 102 -4 6 Black Thorn 4 59.0 6 3.00 4.5 102 101 101 -1 7 Fight Song 4 59.0 7 4.00 4.5 90 100 100 +10 8 Flower Of Saigon 4 56.5 8 6.00 4.5 105 93 95 -10 9 Salvator Mundi 4 60.0 9 7.25 4.5 101 100 100 -1 10 Raiseahallelujah 7 59.0 10 8.00 0.0 99 107 107 +8 11 Decorated 4 59.0 11 11.00 4.5 100 98 98 -2 12 Thefutureisbright 3 59.0 12 11.20 8.0 98 91 91 -7 13 Paris Pike 2 57.5 13 29.20 0.0 83 104 104 +21 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Master Redoute | 102 | 113 | 91 | +22 | 8.0 | - | |
| 2 | Triple Time | 108 | 105 | 104 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Aragosta | 118 | 109 | 108 | +1 | 8.0 | - | |
| 4 | Nebraas Line | 112 | 101 | 112 | -11 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | One Way Traffic | 106 | 109 | 102 | +7 | 4.5 | - | |
| 6 | Black Thorn | 102 | 102 | 101 | +1 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Fight Song | 90 | 94 | 100 | -6 | 4.5 | - | |
| 8 | Flower Of Saigon | 105 | 102 | 95 | +7 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | Salvator Mundi | 101 | 98 | 100 | -2 | 4.5 | - | |
| 10 | Raiseahallelujah | 99 | 103 | 107 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Decorated | 100 | 96 | 98 | -2 | 4.5 | - | |
| 12 | Thefutureisbright | 98 | 94 | 91 | +3 | 8.0 | - | |
| 13 | Paris Pike | 83 | 83 | 104 | -21 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points