Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Gamer
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Pretty Analia 5 57.0 1 0.00 0.0 60 61 60 +0 2 Gamer 4 59.5 2 3.25 1.5 65 65 65 +0 3 Perini Palace 4 57.0 3 3.50 1.5 60 59 59 -1 4 Spy Story 3 61.5 4 5.50 3.0 75 64 65 -10 5 Cartagena 4 53.5 5 6.30 1.5 53 51 51 -2 6 Viva De Janeiro 5 59.5 6 6.60 0.0 65 66 66 +1 6 Bob Lee Swagger 4 56.0 6 6.60 1.5 58 56 56 -2 8 Count Your Chances 5 53.0 8 8.60 0.0 52 53 53 +1 9 Oklahoma Twister 4 60.5 9 8.80 1.5 67 65 65 -2 10 Breath Of Magic 4 57.0 10 12.50 1.5 60 58 58 -2 11 Silent Trigger 6 59.5 11 14.50 0.0 65 66 66 +1 12 Miss Predator 3 57.0 12 15.25 3.0 66 55 56 -10 13 Countess Danza 5 55.5 13 16.00 0.0 57 58 58 +1 99 Red Knot 4 58.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 60 60 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pretty Analia | 60 | 61 | 60 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Gamer Line | 65 | 65 | 65 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | ||
| 3 | Perini Palace | 60 | 56 | 59 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Spy Story | 75 | 66 | 65 | +1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Cartagena | 53 | 77 | 51 | +26 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Viva De Janeiro | 65 | 50 | 66 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Bob Lee Swagger | 58 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Count Your Chances | 52 | 51 | 53 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Oklahoma Twister | 67 | 71 | 65 | +6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Breath Of Magic | 60 | 60 | 58 | +2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Silent Trigger | 65 | 60 | 66 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Miss Predator | 66 | 61 | 56 | +5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 13 | Countess Danza | 57 | 51 | 58 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Red Knot | - | 62 | 60 | +2 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points