Official NHA Assessment

Race 7: FOLLOW GOLD CIRCLE ON FACEBOOK MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Joshua Hotsnake
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Iron Will            4    55.0    1    0.00     2.5   67    65           67    +0
2    Mr Molony            3    54.5    2    0.25     4.0   63    61           61    -2
3    Beach Palace         4    57.0    3    1.05     2.5   77    73           73    -4
4    Joshua Hotsnake      3    58.5    4    2.35     4.0   71    71           71    +0
5    Lake Como            3    56.5    5    3.10     4.0   67    67           67    +0
6    Son Of Silk          4    59.0    6    4.00     2.5   72    74           74    +2
7    Galaxy Explorer      4    60.0    7    4.05     2.5   83    76           76    -7
8    Forest Jump          8    59.5    8    4.80     0.0   73    79           79    +6
9    Hell's Bells         2    52.0    9    6.50     0.0   66    64           64    -2
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Iron Will 67 63 67 -4 2.5 -
2 Mr Molony 63 67 61 +6 4.0 -
3 Beach Palace 77 67 73 -6 2.5 -
4 Joshua Hotsnake Line 71 67 71 -4 4.0
5 Lake Como 67 61 67 -6 4.0 -
6 Son Of Silk 72 65 74 -9 2.5 -
7 Galaxy Explorer 83 60 76 -16 2.5 -
8 Forest Jump 73 62 79 -17 0.0 -
9 Hell's Bells 66 60 64 -4 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points