Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: HOLLYWOODBETS KENILWORTH WELCOMES YOU OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Tambourine Man
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Dancingtothelight 3 61.0 1 0.00 5.0 81 64 64 -17 2 Tambourine Man 5 55.0 2 0.50 0.0 62 62 62 +0 3 Connery 4 57.5 3 0.90 6.0 74 55 64 -10 4 Rougarouin 4 54.5 4 1.20 6.0 68 49 58 -10 5 Moonacres 2 57.5 5 1.25 3.5 74 60 64 -10 6 Tom's Diner 4 61.0 6 1.55 6.0 - 62 62 +62 7 Moremi Gorge 3 61.0 7 1.95 5.0 - 64 64 +64 8 Congressman 4 61.0 8 2.95 6.0 - 62 62 +62 9 House Of Sussex 4 52.0 9 3.25 6.0 62 44 52 -10 10 Bohemian Grove 2 60.5 10 4.50 3.5 79 66 69 -10 11 Colonel Green 3 54.5 11 4.55 5.0 68 51 58 -10 12 Mrs Shackleton 2 52.0 12 5.55 3.5 54 49 49 -5 13 Babylon 2 57.0 13 7.55 3.5 73 59 63 -10 14 Winning Captain 3 57.0 14 7.65 5.0 66 56 56 -10 15 Island Master 3 53.0 15 9.90 5.0 64 48 54 -10 16 Land Of Heaven 2 61.0 16 10.30 3.5 - 67 67 +67 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dancingtothelight | 81 | 73 | 64 | +9 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Tambourine Man Line | 62 | 64 | 62 | +2 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Connery | 74 | 96 | 64 | +32 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Rougarouin | 68 | 69 | 58 | +11 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Moonacres | 74 | 66 | 64 | +2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Tom's Diner | - | 94 | 62 | +32 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Moremi Gorge | - | 67 | 64 | +3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Congressman | - | 93 | 62 | +31 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | House Of Sussex | 62 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Bohemian Grove | 79 | 70 | 69 | +1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Colonel Green | 68 | 62 | 58 | +4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | Mrs Shackleton | 54 | 50 | 49 | +1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 13 | Babylon | 73 | 69 | 63 | +6 | 3.5 | - | |
| 14 | Winning Captain | 66 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 15 | Island Master | 64 | 67 | 54 | +13 | 5.0 | - | |
| 16 | Land Of Heaven | - | 58 | 67 | -9 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points