Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 9 FEBRUARY MR 82 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Jaspero
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Sequoia 6 61.0 1 0.00 0.0 84 86 84 +0 2 Dowser 5 60.5 2 2.50 0.0 83 87 87 +4 3 Spin Doctor 3 61.0 3 2.75 4.0 84 80 80 -4 4 Jaspero 4 59.0 4 2.80 2.0 80 80 80 +0 5 Question Master 2 55.5 5 5.05 0.0 73 75 75 +2 6 Central City 5 59.5 6 5.15 0.0 81 83 83 +2 7 Magical Midlands 4 56.5 7 6.15 2.0 75 73 73 -2 8 Atkinson Grimshaw 4 54.5 8 9.90 2.0 76 69 69 -7 9 Lady Tiptree 3 58.0 9 10.65 4.0 78 72 72 -6 10 Spring High 4 58.5 10 39.65 2.0 79 77 77 -2 11 Jacob's Ladder 4 58.0 11 40.00 2.0 78 76 76 -2 99 El Romiachi 8 54.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 73 73 +0 99 Matsuyamo 2 58.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 80 80 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sequoia | 84 | 99 | 84 | +15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Dowser | 83 | 84 | 87 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Spin Doctor | 84 | 90 | 80 | +10 | 4.0 | - | |
| 4 | Jaspero Line | 80 | 76 | 80 | -4 | 2.0 | ||
| 5 | Question Master | 73 | 70 | 75 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Central City | 81 | 81 | 83 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Magical Midlands | 75 | 79 | 73 | +6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Atkinson Grimshaw | 76 | 75 | 69 | +6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Lady Tiptree | 78 | 68 | 72 | -4 | 4.0 | - | |
| 10 | Spring High | 79 | 79 | 77 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Jacob's Ladder | 78 | 73 | 76 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | El Romiachi | - | 77 | 73 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Matsuyamo | - | 78 | 80 | -2 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points