Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 66 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Chelsea Flower
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Maggie Smith         2    59.0    1    0.00     3.0   64    58           64    +0
2    Shona Kirsty Yves    3    55.5    2    1.60     4.5   60    48           50    -10
3    Chelsea Flower       6    60.0    3    5.20     0.0   66    66           66    +0
4    Sky Cafe             3    56.5    4    5.50     4.5   59    50           50    -9
5    Nonoti               2    55.0    5    6.10     3.0   64    50           54    -10
6    Inevitable           2    59.5    6    6.40     3.0   70    59           60    -10
7    French Princess      2    59.5    7    6.70     3.0   65    59           59    -6
8    A Time To Dance      3    58.5    8    8.60     4.5   63    54           54    -9
9    Rugger Lover         2    61.0    9    21.90    3.0   74    62           64    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Maggie Smith 64 72 64 +8 3.0 -
2 Shona Kirsty Yves 60 60 50 +10 4.5 -
3 Chelsea Flower Line 66 77 66 +11 0.0
4 Sky Cafe 59 58 50 +8 4.5 -
5 Nonoti 64 57 54 +3 3.0 -
6 Inevitable 70 74 60 +14 3.0 -
7 French Princess 65 65 59 +6 3.0 -
8 A Time To Dance 63 60 54 +6 4.5 -
9 Rugger Lover 74 79 64 +15 3.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points