Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 76 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Golden Aspen
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
1 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Star Choice 5 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 72 70 72 +0 2 Mauritania 2 57.0 2 0.70 0.0 77 73 73 -4 3 Golden Aspen 6 56.0 3 2.40 0.0 68 68 68 +0 4 Woodland Retreat 2 61.0 4 6.70 0.0 78 76 76 -2 5 Vermacilli 3 52.0 5 12.80 3.0 58 52 52 -6 6 Grecian Palace 2 55.5 6 22.10 0.0 74 65 65 -9 7 Flight Maneuver 3 60.0 7 33.50 3.0 83 68 73 -10 99 Jazz Diva 3 60.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 68 68 +0 99 Dollar A Dime 4 58.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 66 66 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Star Choice | 72 | 77 | 72 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Mauritania | 77 | 74 | 73 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Golden Aspen Line | 68 | 66 | 68 | -2 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Woodland Retreat | 78 | 75 | 76 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Vermacilli | 58 | 54 | 52 | +2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Grecian Palace | 74 | 62 | 65 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Flight Maneuver | 83 | 73 | 73 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Jazz Diva | - | 70 | 68 | +2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Dollar A Dime | - | 74 | 66 | +8 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points