Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING TUESDAY 13 FEBRUARY FM 66 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Global Goddess
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Lady Renee 2 57.5 1 0.00 3.0 60 64 60 +0 2 Symbol Of Love 2 59.0 2 0.50 3.0 70 67 67 -3 3 Global Goddess 3 57.5 3 0.75 4.5 61 61 61 +0 4 You Win Again 5 57.0 4 1.00 0.0 60 69 69 +9 5 Whataball 2 58.0 5 3.25 3.0 68 65 65 -3 6 Misty Cliffs 2 57.5 6 3.75 3.0 66 64 64 -2 7 Kileigh's Fate 4 55.0 7 5.00 5.0 56 55 55 -1 8 Moonstrike 3 52.5 8 6.25 4.5 51 51 51 +0 9 Si Gioca 2 59.0 9 9.50 3.0 70 67 67 -3 10 Successful Lady 2 53.5 10 11.25 3.0 59 56 56 -3 11 Regina Bellissima 2 59.5 11 11.30 3.0 65 68 68 +3 99 Elusive Jewel 2 55.5 99 0.00 3.0 - 60 60 +0 99 Holly's View 2 58.5 99 0.00 3.0 - 66 66 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lady Renee | 60 | 64 | 60 | +4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Symbol Of Love | 70 | 94 | 67 | +27 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Global Goddess Line | 61 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 4.5 | ||
| 4 | You Win Again | 60 | 83 | 69 | +14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Whataball | 68 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Misty Cliffs | 66 | 64 | 64 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Kileigh's Fate | 56 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Moonstrike | 51 | 50 | 51 | -1 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | Si Gioca | 70 | 62 | 67 | -5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | Successful Lady | 59 | 56 | 56 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | Regina Bellissima | 65 | 58 | 68 | -10 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Elusive Jewel | - | 57 | 60 | -3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Holly's View | - | 66 | 66 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points