Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: MWOS BEITBRIDGE NOVICE PLATE (Maidens & 1 time winners)
Line Horse
When Evening Comes
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 4
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 4
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 4
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Bello Grosso 2 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 57 62 62 +5 2 When Evening Comes 5 57.0 2 0.75 0.0 60 60 60 +0 3 Il Combattente 3 57.5 3 20.75 4.0 46 49 49 +3 4 Forgotten Time 3 60.0 4 99.98 4.0 68 54 58 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bello Grosso | 57 | 72 | 62 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | When Evening Comes Line | 60 | 58 | 60 | -2 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Il Combattente | 46 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 4.0 | - | |
| 4 | Forgotten Time | 68 | 76 | 58 | +18 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points