Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING THURSDAY 24 FEBRUARY CLASSIFIED STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 71 and below)
Line Horse
Lulu's Boy
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Grindelwald 6 55.5 1 0.00 0.0 64 59 59 -5 2 General Hancock 3 60.0 2 1.30 4.5 77 59 67 -10 3 Desert Pride 4 58.5 3 3.80 5.0 71 55 61 -10 4 Zulu War Cry 4 52.5 4 4.40 5.0 50 43 43 -7 5 Veneta 3 54.5 5 4.90 4.5 68 48 58 -10 6 Lulu's Boy 5 58.0 6 5.20 0.0 64 64 64 +0 7 Groundhog Day 3 54.5 7 5.45 4.5 69 48 59 -10 8 Nymeria 5 52.5 8 5.75 0.0 51 53 53 +2 9 Tiki Taka 6 51.5 9 6.00 0.0 55 51 51 -4 10 Future Princess 3 58.5 10 8.00 4.5 76 56 66 -10 99 Successful Secret 4 58.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 54 54 +0 99 Covert Operator 6 58.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 64 64 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grindelwald | 64 | 70 | 59 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | General Hancock | 77 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 4.5 | - | |
| 3 | Desert Pride | 71 | 61 | 61 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Zulu War Cry | 50 | 53 | 43 | +10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Veneta | 68 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 4.5 | - | |
| 6 | Lulu's Boy Line | 64 | 71 | 64 | +7 | 0.0 | ||
| 7 | Groundhog Day | 69 | 55 | 59 | -4 | 4.5 | - | |
| 8 | Nymeria | 51 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Tiki Taka | 55 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Future Princess | 76 | 69 | 66 | +3 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Successful Secret | - | 65 | 54 | +11 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Covert Operator | - | 77 | 64 | +13 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points