Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Northern Warrior
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    El Draque            5    58.5    1    0.00     0.0   70    68           70    +0
2    Spirited Flight      5    54.0    2    0.25     0.0   56    59           59    +3
3    Northern Warrior     7    57.0    3    1.45     0.0   65    65           65    +0
4    Ndaka                3    56.5    4    1.55     4.5   61    55           55    -6
5    Happy Wanderer       5    58.5    5    2.85     0.0   65    68           68    +3
6    Get Carter           4    48.0    6    3.35     5.0   51    37           41    -10
7    Quick Star           6    57.0    7    3.40     0.0   70    65           65    -5
8    Mccartney            3    55.0    8    3.45     4.5   58    52           52    -6
9    Buster Keaton        3    58.5    9    3.85     4.5   65    59           59    -6
10   Take To War          4    55.5    10   5.35     5.0   59    52           52    -7
11   Prosper's Gift       2    59.0    11   5.40     3.0   66    63           63    -3
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 El Draque 70 57 70 -13 0.0 -
2 Spirited Flight 56 61 59 +2 0.0 -
3 Northern Warrior Line 65 73 65 +8 0.0
4 Ndaka 61 61 55 +6 4.5 -
5 Happy Wanderer 65 55 68 -13 0.0 -
6 Get Carter 51 46 41 +5 5.0 -
7 Quick Star 70 60 65 -5 0.0 -
8 Mccartney 58 54 52 +2 4.5 -
9 Buster Keaton 65 60 59 +1 4.5 -
10 Take To War 59 59 52 +7 5.0 -
11 Prosper's Gift 66 64 63 +1 3.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points