Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 78)

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Line Horse
Escarpment
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
13 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    War Chariot          4    58.5    1    0.00     5.0   81    81           81    +0
2    The Tinkerman        3    59.0    2    0.10     4.5   76    83           83    +7
3    Escarpment           4    57.5    3    0.85     5.0   79    79           79    +0
4    Radicchio            5    56.0    4    1.15     0.0   70    86           86    +16
5    Mighty Mac           5    56.5    5    1.20     0.0   71    87           87    +16
6    Benjamin             4    61.0    6    1.50     5.0   80    86           86    +6
7    Night Bomber         4    61.0    7    1.80     5.0   86    86           86    +0
8    Hammies Hero         2    59.5    8    2.00     3.0   77    87           87    +10
9    Winter Pearl         6    59.5    9    2.50     0.0   77    93           93    +16
10   Whiskey Bravo        2    56.0    10   3.25     3.0   76    80           80    +4
11   Guarding The Wall    4    58.5    11   4.75     5.0   81    81           81    +0
12   Le Legionnaire       2    60.0    12   5.25     3.0   83    88           88    +5
13   Wyag                 2    58.5    13   6.00     3.0   75    85           85    +10
14   Masked Vigilante     3    56.0    14   7.50     4.5   70    77           77    +7
15   Keep It Secret       3    61.0    15   8.75     4.5   80    87           87    +7
16   Mount Pleasant (AUS  4    59.5    16   9.25     5.0   77    83           83    +6
99   Fort Red             4    60.0    99   0.00     5.0   -     84           84    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 War Chariot 81 82 81 +1 5.0 -
2 The Tinkerman 76 76 83 -7 4.5 -
3 Escarpment Line 79 79 79 ✓ Match 5.0
4 Radicchio 70 100 86 +14 0.0 -
5 Mighty Mac 71 52 87 -35 0.0 -
6 Benjamin 80 75 86 -11 5.0 -
7 Night Bomber 86 96 86 +10 5.0 -
8 Hammies Hero 77 69 87 -18 3.0 -
9 Winter Pearl 77 71 93 -22 0.0 -
10 Whiskey Bravo 76 66 80 -14 3.0 -
11 Guarding The Wall 81 67 81 -14 5.0 -
12 Le Legionnaire 83 84 88 -4 3.0 -
13 Wyag 75 74 85 -11 3.0 -
14 Masked Vigilante 70 78 77 +1 4.5 -
15 Keep It Secret 80 80 87 -7 4.5 -
16 Mount Pleasant (AUS) 77 71 83 -12 5.0 -
99 Fort Red - 66 84 -18 5.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points