Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 88 HANDICAP (Open)

Line Horse
Time Together
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    William Rufus        2    59.0    1    0.00     0.0   86    97           86    +0
2    Time Together        3    52.5    2    1.60     3.0   81    81           81    +0
3    Patronage            4    54.5    3    1.65     2.0   80    87           87    +7
4    Bowie                7    58.5    4    2.95     0.0   90    98           98    +8
5    Camora               4    57.0    5    3.05     2.0   82    91           91    +9
6    Parmenion            5    54.0    6    3.45     0.0   76    88           88    +12
7    Ralph The Rascal     8    57.5    7    4.85     0.0   83    94           94    +11
7    Imposing             2    59.0    7    4.85     0.0   86    97           97    +11
9    Last One Standing    3    59.5    9    13.95    3.0   94    92           92    -2
99   Voldemort            6    57.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     94           94    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 William Rufus 86 88 86 +2 0.0 -
2 Time Together Line 81 81 81 ✓ Match 3.0
3 Patronage 80 76 87 -11 2.0 -
4 Bowie 90 82 98 -16 0.0 -
5 Camora 82 81 91 -10 2.0 -
6 Parmenion 76 78 88 -10 0.0 -
7 Ralph The Rascal 83 73 94 -21 0.0 -
7 Imposing 86 107 97 +10 0.0 -
9 Last One Standing 94 93 92 +1 3.0 -
99 Voldemort - 81 94 -13 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points