Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 23 FEBRUARY MR 64 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Holly's View
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
5 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
8 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Mr Bodacious 2 58.0 1 0.00 3.0 60 60 60 +0 2 Ferrando 3 60.0 2 2.75 4.5 64 61 61 -3 3 Holly's View 2 59.5 3 4.00 3.0 63 63 63 +0 4 Great Times 3 57.0 4 5.75 4.5 61 55 55 -6 5 Persistance 3 54.5 5 6.00 4.5 52 50 50 -2 5 Jackson Misissippi 6 53.0 5 6.00 0.0 50 56 56 +6 7 War Launch 2 59.0 7 8.25 3.0 68 62 62 -6 8 Global Goddess 3 58.5 8 8.50 4.5 61 58 58 -3 9 Absolu Noir 8 50.0 9 10.00 0.0 48 50 50 +2 10 Warbonnet Creek (IR 4 58.5 10 10.10 5.0 61 57 57 -4 11 Mia Regina 2 59.5 11 11.35 3.0 63 63 63 +0 12 Mediteraneangoddes 4 59.0 12 14.60 5.0 62 58 58 -4 13 Above The World 2 59.5 13 21.35 3.0 63 63 63 +0 99 We All Chomies 5 55.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 60 60 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mr Bodacious | 60 | 65 | 60 | +5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Ferrando | 64 | 74 | 61 | +13 | 4.5 | - | |
| 3 | Holly's View Line | 63 | 66 | 63 | +3 | 3.0 | ||
| 4 | Great Times | 61 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 4.5 | - | |
| 5 | Persistance | 52 | 50 | 50 | ✓ Match | 4.5 | - | |
| 5 | Jackson Misissippi | 50 | 58 | 56 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | War Launch | 68 | 50 | 62 | -12 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Global Goddess | 61 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | Absolu Noir | 48 | 50 | 50 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Warbonnet Creek (IRE) | 61 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Mia Regina | 63 | 63 | 63 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 12 | Mediteraneangoddes | 62 | 58 | 58 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | - | |
| 13 | Above The World | 63 | 63 | 63 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | We All Chomies | - | 54 | 60 | -6 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points