Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Pongola
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
12 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Safe Space           5    56.0    1    0.00     0.0   66    66           66    +0
2    Papa C               6    58.0    2    1.00     0.0   75    74           74    -1
3    Pongola              5    56.5    3    1.30     0.0   70    70           70    +0
4    Shoefella            2    58.0    4    2.10     0.0   70    73           73    +3
5    Temperate Zone       2    54.5    5    2.40     0.0   71    65           65    -6
6    Wyatt's Choice       5    59.0    6    2.80     0.0   72    74           74    +2
7    Teichman             5    60.5    7    2.85     0.0   75    77           77    +2
7    Mr Molony            3    55.5    7    2.85     4.0   65    59           59    -6
9    Johnny The Thief     2    60.5    9    3.00     0.0   83    77           77    -6
10   Galaxy Explorer      4    59.0    10   3.40     2.0   80    69           70    -10
11   Political Party      2    57.0    11   4.00     0.0   68    69           69    +1
12   Mount Meru           4    56.0    12   4.25     2.0   66    63           63    -3
13   Godfather            2    55.0    13   5.35     0.0   64    64           64    +0
14   Kimball O'Hara       2    58.5    14   5.65     0.0   71    71           71    +0
15   Imaginable           3    57.0    15   6.95     4.0   68    60           60    -8
99   Masterbling          3    53.5    99   0.00     4.0   -     53           53    +0
99   Red Magician         3    52.0    99   0.00     4.0   -     50           50    +0
99   Tobacconist          2    54.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     63           63    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Safe Space 66 83 66 +17 0.0 -
2 Papa C 75 73 74 -1 0.0 -
3 Pongola Line 70 66 70 -4 0.0
4 Shoefella 70 82 73 +9 0.0 -
5 Temperate Zone 71 74 65 +9 0.0 -
6 Wyatt's Choice 72 71 74 -3 0.0 -
7 Teichman 75 73 77 -4 0.0 -
7 Mr Molony 65 67 59 +8 4.0 -
9 Johnny The Thief 83 95 77 +18 0.0 -
10 Galaxy Explorer 80 60 70 -10 2.0 -
11 Political Party 68 66 69 -3 0.0 -
12 Mount Meru 66 50 63 -13 2.0 -
13 Godfather 64 57 64 -7 0.0 -
14 Kimball O'Hara 71 61 71 -10 0.0 -
15 Imaginable 68 92 60 +32 4.0 -
99 Masterbling - 74 53 +21 4.0 -
99 Red Magician - 49 50 -1 4.0 -
99 Tobacconist - 81 63 +18 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points