Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA FM 92 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Say Yes
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Terra Time 3 60.0 1 0.00 5.0 92 77 92 +0 2 Special Charm 3 55.0 2 1.25 5.0 82 73 73 -9 3 Say Yes 2 60.5 3 1.50 0.0 93 93 93 +0 4 Rosy Lemon 5 52.0 4 2.60 0.0 76 75 75 -1 5 I Am Regal 5 53.5 5 2.80 0.0 79 77 77 -2 6 Bellevarde 3 59.0 6 3.75 5.0 90 77 80 -10 7 Namaqua Blossom 3 53.5 7 3.80 5.0 79 66 69 -10 8 Ipso Facto 2 61.5 8 4.25 0.0 95 92 92 -3 9 Alphabetty 5 57.0 9 5.50 0.0 86 81 81 -5 10 Opera Glass 4 58.0 10 7.25 2.5 88 78 78 -10 11 Damostar 4 57.0 11 8.50 2.5 96 76 86 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Terra Time | 92 | 96 | 92 | +4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Special Charm | 82 | 104 | 73 | +31 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Say Yes Line | 93 | 90 | 93 | -3 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Rosy Lemon | 76 | 72 | 75 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | I Am Regal | 79 | 75 | 77 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Bellevarde | 90 | 107 | 80 | +27 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Namaqua Blossom | 79 | 75 | 69 | +6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Ipso Facto | 95 | 92 | 92 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Alphabetty | 86 | 71 | 81 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Opera Glass | 88 | 81 | 78 | +3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Damostar | 96 | 91 | 86 | +5 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points