Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION FM 73 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Ideal Future
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Be Real 2 51.0 1 0.00 0.0 73 57 73 +0 2 Avoontoast 5 58.5 2 0.20 0.0 70 72 72 +2 3 One Religion 2 54.5 3 0.90 0.0 72 70 70 -2 4 Ideal Future 6 53.5 4 1.00 0.0 68 68 68 +0 5 Azaleas For All 4 58.0 5 5.75 2.5 79 66 69 -10 6 Ariel's Jet 3 60.0 6 6.00 5.0 83 65 73 -10 7 Pretty In Pearls 3 59.0 7 6.50 5.0 71 63 63 -8 8 Princess Azariah 2 53.0 8 7.75 0.0 69 61 61 -8 9 Gilda Gray 3 55.5 9 9.00 5.0 64 56 56 -8 10 Lidl Miss Sunshine 3 56.0 10 9.25 5.0 65 57 57 -8 11 Regal Daughter 2 59.0 11 10.25 0.0 81 73 73 -8 12 Beguiling 3 52.0 12 11.75 5.0 52 49 49 -3 13 Angelofthemorning 3 52.0 13 14.50 5.0 57 49 49 -8 14 Fairy Circle 2 54.0 14 16.00 0.0 71 63 63 -8 15 Midnight Crystal 2 58.5 15 20.00 0.0 70 72 72 +2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Be Real | 73 | 71 | 73 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Avoontoast | 70 | 86 | 72 | +14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | One Religion | 72 | 78 | 70 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Ideal Future Line | 68 | 72 | 68 | +4 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Azaleas For All | 79 | 82 | 69 | +13 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Ariel's Jet | 83 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Pretty In Pearls | 71 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Princess Azariah | 69 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Gilda Gray | 64 | 64 | 56 | +8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Lidl Miss Sunshine | 65 | 62 | 57 | +5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Regal Daughter | 81 | 80 | 73 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Beguiling | 52 | 50 | 49 | +1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 13 | Angelofthemorning | 57 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 14 | Fairy Circle | 71 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 15 | Midnight Crystal | 70 | 66 | 72 | -6 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points