Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 7 MARCH FM 79 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Mighty Goddess
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Alesia's Love        4    55.5    1    0.00     2.0   78    63           78    +0
2    Flamboyant Flyer     4    51.0    2    0.75     2.0   77    58           67    -10
3    Southern Style       5    48.0    3    1.50     0.0   63    55           55    -8
4    Jj's Eagle           2    55.0    4    1.75     0.0   77    69           69    -8
5    Mighty Goddess       2    57.5    5    2.00     0.0   74    74           74    +0
6    Mix The Magic        3    52.0    6    2.25     4.0   55    55           55    +0
7    Boom Boom            4    57.0    7    3.00     2.0   81    68           71    -10
8    Kakiebos             3    60.0    8    3.50     4.0   87    69           77    -10
9    Lorna Lilly          3    52.0    9    5.00     4.0   60    52           52    -8
99   Andi's Girl          4    56.0    99   0.00     2.0   -     64           64    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Alesia's Love 78 79 78 +1 2.0 -
2 Flamboyant Flyer 77 77 67 +10 2.0 -
3 Southern Style 63 54 55 -1 0.0 -
4 Jj's Eagle 77 57 69 -12 0.0 -
5 Mighty Goddess Line 74 73 74 -1 0.0
6 Mix The Magic 55 52 55 -3 4.0 -
7 Boom Boom 81 81 71 +10 2.0 -
8 Kakiebos 87 75 77 -2 4.0 -
9 Lorna Lilly 60 50 52 -2 4.0 -
99 Andi's Girl - 93 64 +29 2.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points