Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: SA CLASSIC 2 MARCH FOR BOOKINGS CALL 011 681 1796 MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Policy Of Truth
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Two Miles West 3 60.0 1 0.00 4.0 80 68 68 -12 2 Forest God 3 60.0 2 1.75 4.0 - 71 71 +71 3 Policy Of Truth 2 60.0 3 3.00 0.0 78 78 78 +0 4 Pike Place 3 56.0 4 3.50 4.0 59 61 61 +2 5 Breath Of Magic 4 60.0 5 6.70 2.0 73 72 72 -1 6 Monte Bello 3 60.0 6 6.80 4.0 - 68 68 +68 7 Mishrah 3 60.0 7 7.00 4.0 - 68 68 +68 8 Isiqalaba 3 60.0 8 18.50 4.0 - 68 68 +68 9 Glacier Bay 3 60.0 9 26.75 4.0 - 68 68 +68 99 Hephaestus 3 60.0 99 0.00 4.0 - 68 68 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Two Miles West | 80 | 93 | 68 | +25 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Forest God | - | 79 | 71 | +8 | 4.0 | - | |
| 3 | Policy Of Truth Line | 78 | 71 | 78 | -7 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Pike Place | 59 | 57 | 61 | -4 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Breath Of Magic | 73 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Monte Bello | - | 65 | 68 | -3 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | Mishrah | - | 61 | 68 | -7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Isiqalaba | - | 55 | 68 | -13 | 4.0 | - | |
| 9 | Glacier Bay | - | 50 | 68 | -18 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Hephaestus | - | 10 | 68 | -58 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points