Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: ZIMBABWE GUINEAS (Grade 3) (For all 3 year olds/ 1st leg Triple Crown)
Line Horse
Follow The Band
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 4
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 4
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 4
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Buster Barnes 2 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 86 56 56 -30 2 Trust Me 2 55.5 2 5.00 0.0 50 51 51 +1 3 Follow The Band 2 58.0 3 5.75 0.0 56 56 56 +0 4 Pair Of Aces 4 58.0 4 8.75 2.0 55 52 52 -3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buster Barnes | 86 | 101 | 56 | +45 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Trust Me | 50 | 51 | 51 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Follow The Band Line | 56 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Pair Of Aces | 55 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points