Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: WSB Max pay out R10Million MR 95 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Go Man Go
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Aqua Bolt 5 59.0 1 0.00 0.0 93 96 93 +0 2 Giacomo Puccini 4 59.0 2 0.05 5.0 93 86 86 -7 3 Go Man Go 5 54.0 3 1.25 0.0 86 86 86 +0 4 Good Rhythm 6 58.5 4 1.50 0.0 92 95 95 +3 5 Party Time 3 58.5 5 2.20 4.5 98 86 88 -10 6 Purple Flame 3 54.5 6 3.00 4.5 90 78 80 -10 7 Antigonus 6 56.0 7 4.00 0.0 87 90 90 +3 8 Travelling Light 5 54.5 8 9.50 0.0 84 87 87 +3 9 Aj's Captain 3 56.5 9 9.75 4.5 102 82 92 -10 99 Burning Wings 4 58.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 85 85 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aqua Bolt | 93 | 84 | 93 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Giacomo Puccini | 93 | 72 | 86 | -14 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Go Man Go Line | 86 | 85 | 86 | -1 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Good Rhythm | 92 | 85 | 95 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Party Time | 98 | 104 | 88 | +16 | 4.5 | - | |
| 6 | Purple Flame | 90 | 87 | 80 | +7 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Antigonus | 87 | 81 | 90 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Travelling Light | 84 | 80 | 87 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Aj's Captain | 102 | 71 | 92 | -21 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Burning Wings | - | 64 | 85 | -21 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points