Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: SA CLASSIC 2 MARCH FOR BOOKINGS CALL 011 681 1796 MIDDLE STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 101 and below)
Line Horse
Laguna Verde
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Mid Winter Wind 3 54.0 1 0.00 3.0 92 73 73 -19 2 Texas Red 5 62.0 2 0.75 0.0 98 99 99 +1 3 Laguna Verde 5 62.0 3 2.25 0.0 98 98 98 +0 4 Celestial City 4 58.0 4 2.65 2.0 92 85 85 -7 5 Brave Viking 5 56.0 5 4.90 0.0 89 83 83 -6 6 Total Surrender 5 54.0 6 5.15 0.0 85 79 79 -6 7 Funky Music 4 54.0 7 7.40 2.0 91 75 81 -10 8 Bob's Your Uncle 5 54.0 8 8.15 0.0 84 79 79 -5 9 Top Sail 2 58.0 9 10.15 0.0 91 87 87 -4 10 Winter Stories 4 58.0 10 11.15 2.0 100 83 90 -10 99 Flashy Apache 6 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 91 91 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mid Winter Wind | 92 | 116 | 73 | +43 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Texas Red | 98 | 119 | 99 | +20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Laguna Verde Line | 98 | 86 | 98 | -12 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Celestial City | 92 | 92 | 85 | +7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Brave Viking | 89 | 72 | 83 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Total Surrender | 85 | 74 | 79 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Funky Music | 91 | 83 | 81 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Bob's Your Uncle | 84 | 103 | 79 | +24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Top Sail | 91 | 85 | 87 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Winter Stories | 100 | 95 | 90 | +5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Flashy Apache | - | 78 | 91 | -13 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points