Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: www.tabgold.co.za MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Doin' Time
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Irish Luck 2 57.5 1 0.00 0.0 74 56 56 -18 2 Cosmic Captain 2 60.0 2 4.00 0.0 66 62 62 -4 3 Hat Hot Hat 4 60.0 3 4.25 2.0 54 58 58 +4 4 Helsinki 2 60.0 4 5.65 0.0 80 61 70 -10 5 Doin' Time 5 60.0 5 6.35 0.0 61 61 61 +0 6 Uncle Lucky 2 60.0 6 8.75 0.0 51 61 61 +10 7 Global Movement 6 60.0 7 14.05 0.0 65 61 61 -4 8 Greenside 2 60.0 8 22.15 0.0 53 61 61 +8 9 Clever Orrie 3 60.0 9 22.25 3.0 - 55 55 +55 99 Caberneigh 3 60.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 55 55 +0 99 Plettenberg 3 58.5 99 0.00 3.0 - 52 52 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irish Luck | 74 | 72 | 56 | +16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Cosmic Captain | 66 | 70 | 62 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Hat Hot Hat | 54 | 66 | 58 | +8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Helsinki | 80 | 72 | 70 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Doin' Time Line | 61 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 0.0 | ||
| 6 | Uncle Lucky | 51 | 61 | 61 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Global Movement | 65 | 65 | 61 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Greenside | 53 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Clever Orrie | - | - | 55 | -55 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Caberneigh | - | 61 | 55 | +6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Plettenberg | - | 59 | 52 | +7 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points