Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: PLAY SOCCER 6, 10 AND 13 MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Pocket Watch
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Warhawk Bomber 2 59.5 1 0.00 0.0 87 84 87 +0 2 Champion Warrior 3 60.5 2 0.20 4.0 81 78 78 -3 3 Mk's Dreams 2 59.0 3 1.45 0.0 86 86 86 +0 4 Pocket Watch 2 58.0 4 2.25 0.0 84 84 84 +0 5 Tyrconnell 5 59.0 5 2.75 0.0 78 85 85 +7 6 Vesuvio 5 59.5 6 5.00 0.0 79 84 84 +5 7 Weather Wizard 3 58.0 7 6.75 4.0 84 73 74 -10 8 French Impact 2 53.5 8 7.00 0.0 83 72 73 -10 9 Jury's Out 2 59.0 9 8.00 0.0 86 83 83 -3 10 Bloomington 3 61.0 10 8.25 4.0 82 79 79 -3 99 Greenbackcurrency 3 59.5 99 0.00 4.0 - 76 76 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warhawk Bomber | 87 | 80 | 87 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Champion Warrior | 81 | 97 | 78 | +19 | 4.0 | - | |
| 3 | Mk's Dreams | 86 | 82 | 86 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Pocket Watch Line | 84 | 83 | 84 | -1 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Tyrconnell | 78 | 82 | 85 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Vesuvio | 79 | 85 | 84 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Weather Wizard | 84 | 81 | 74 | +7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | French Impact | 83 | 72 | 73 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Jury's Out | 86 | 85 | 83 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Bloomington | 82 | 69 | 79 | -10 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Greenbackcurrency | - | 71 | 76 | -5 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points