Official NHA Assessment

Race 10: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 2 MARCH MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)

Line Horse
Libeccio
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Run For Cover        5    58.5    1    0.00     0.0   69    65           69    +0
2    Libeccio             5    58.0    2    1.25     0.0   68    68           68    +0
3    Full Go              6    52.0    3    3.45     0.0   56    53           53    -3
4    Longsword            2    58.0    4    3.75     0.0   76    65           66    -10
5    Viva De Janeiro      5    55.5    5    4.85     0.0   63    59           59    -4
6    Arividicio           5    56.0    6    7.25     0.0   72    60           62    -10
7    Circus Lights        5    57.5    7    7.45     0.0   67    63           63    -4
8    Godspeed             2    59.5    8    8.75     0.0   82    67           72    -10
9    Toffas               3    61.5    9    10.25    4.0   75    63           65    -10
10   Calida               2    57.5    10   16.50    0.0   75    63           65    -10
11   Twice The Storm      2    60.5    11   39.00    0.0   73    69           69    -4
99   Written In Stone     9    52.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     52           52    +0
99   Majestic Palace      3    61.0    99   0.00     4.0   -     62           62    +0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Run For Cover 69 70 69 +1 0.0 -
2 Libeccio Line 68 62 68 -6 0.0
3 Full Go 56 59 53 +6 0.0 -
4 Longsword 76 72 66 +6 0.0 -
5 Viva De Janeiro 63 50 59 -9 0.0 -
6 Arividicio 72 50 62 -12 0.0 -
7 Circus Lights 67 64 63 +1 0.0 -
8 Godspeed 82 60 72 -12 0.0 -
9 Toffas 75 74 65 +9 4.0 -
10 Calida 75 72 65 +7 0.0 -
11 Twice The Storm 73 73 69 +4 0.0 -
99 Written In Stone - 67 52 +15 0.0 -
99 Majestic Palace - 90 62 +28 4.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points