Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 2 MARCH MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Libeccio
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Run For Cover 5 58.5 1 0.00 0.0 69 65 69 +0 2 Libeccio 5 58.0 2 1.25 0.0 68 68 68 +0 3 Full Go 6 52.0 3 3.45 0.0 56 53 53 -3 4 Longsword 2 58.0 4 3.75 0.0 76 65 66 -10 5 Viva De Janeiro 5 55.5 5 4.85 0.0 63 59 59 -4 6 Arividicio 5 56.0 6 7.25 0.0 72 60 62 -10 7 Circus Lights 5 57.5 7 7.45 0.0 67 63 63 -4 8 Godspeed 2 59.5 8 8.75 0.0 82 67 72 -10 9 Toffas 3 61.5 9 10.25 4.0 75 63 65 -10 10 Calida 2 57.5 10 16.50 0.0 75 63 65 -10 11 Twice The Storm 2 60.5 11 39.00 0.0 73 69 69 -4 99 Written In Stone 9 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 52 52 +0 99 Majestic Palace 3 61.0 99 0.00 4.0 - 62 62 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Run For Cover | 69 | 70 | 69 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Libeccio Line | 68 | 62 | 68 | -6 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Full Go | 56 | 59 | 53 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Longsword | 76 | 72 | 66 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Viva De Janeiro | 63 | 50 | 59 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Arividicio | 72 | 50 | 62 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Circus Lights | 67 | 64 | 63 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Godspeed | 82 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Toffas | 75 | 74 | 65 | +9 | 4.0 | - | |
| 10 | Calida | 75 | 72 | 65 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Twice The Storm | 73 | 73 | 69 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Written In Stone | - | 67 | 52 | +15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Majestic Palace | - | 90 | 62 | +28 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points