Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: JERMAINE CRAIG MEMORIAL MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden F&M. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Play With Fire
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Happy Mo 3 60.0 1 0.00 3.0 74 71 71 -3 2 Play With Fire 4 60.0 2 5.00 1.5 74 74 74 +0 3 Ceuta 4 60.0 3 5.75 1.5 - 74 74 +74 4 City Lights 4 60.0 4 6.50 1.5 69 74 74 +5 5 Springer 2 60.0 5 7.25 0.0 78 77 77 -1 6 Cherry Oh Baby 4 60.0 6 9.25 1.5 - 74 74 +74 7 Lady Lennox 2 60.0 7 31.25 0.0 66 77 77 +11 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Happy Mo | 74 | 89 | 71 | +18 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Play With Fire Line | 74 | 79 | 74 | +5 | 1.5 | ||
| 3 | Ceuta | - | 97 | 74 | +23 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | City Lights | 69 | 52 | 74 | -22 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Springer | 78 | 75 | 77 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Cherry Oh Baby | - | 78 | 74 | +4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Lady Lennox | 66 | 63 | 77 | -14 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points