Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: NEXT TURFFONTEIN MEETING 9 MARCH MAIDEN PLATE (A) (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Rossore Finale
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Judgement Day 3 60.0 1 0.00 3.0 82 69 69 -13 2 Rossore Finale 2 60.0 2 1.00 0.0 79 79 79 +0 3 Breath Of Magic 4 60.0 3 5.50 1.5 71 72 72 +1 4 Al Akhtaar 3 60.0 4 6.50 3.0 - 69 69 +69 5 Erimitage 4 60.0 5 7.75 1.5 - 72 72 +72 6 Path Of Power 3 60.0 6 11.75 3.0 55 69 69 +14 7 Blue Quartz 4 53.5 7 12.50 1.5 - 59 59 +59 8 Jabberwocky 4 60.0 8 16.50 1.5 - 72 72 +72 9 Oklahoma Twister 4 60.0 9 18.25 1.5 69 72 72 +3 10 Master Ariano 3 60.0 10 18.50 3.0 75 69 69 -6 11 Hephaestus 3 56.0 11 99.99 3.0 10 61 61 +51 12 Dream State 2 60.0 12 99.99 0.0 58 75 75 +17 13 Bompas 4 60.0 13 99.99 1.5 55 72 72 +17 99 Russian Lotus 3 60.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 69 69 +0 99 In A Blue Moon 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 75 75 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Judgement Day | 82 | 90 | 69 | +21 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Rossore Finale Line | 79 | 76 | 79 | -3 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Breath Of Magic | 71 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Al Akhtaar | - | 72 | 69 | +3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Erimitage | - | 62 | 72 | -10 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Path Of Power | 55 | 69 | 69 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Blue Quartz | - | 62 | 59 | +3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Jabberwocky | - | 53 | 72 | -19 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Oklahoma Twister | 69 | 71 | 72 | -1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Master Ariano | 75 | 84 | 69 | +15 | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | Hephaestus | 10 | 10 | 61 | -51 | 3.0 | - | |
| 12 | Dream State | 58 | 58 | 75 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Bompas | 55 | 58 | 72 | -14 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Russian Lotus | - | 59 | 69 | -10 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | In A Blue Moon | - | 74 | 75 | -1 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points