Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: Dare2Dream RACING SYNDICATE CAPE B STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 94 & below)
Line Horse
Gentleman Joe
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Katsu 3 54.0 1 0.00 4.5 75 73 73 -2 2 Time For Love 4 53.0 2 0.50 2.0 82 81 81 -1 3 Prevalence 3 57.0 3 0.90 4.5 80 83 83 +3 4 Gentleman Joe 3 60.0 4 3.40 4.5 86 86 86 +0 5 Supreme Dream 3 54.5 5 3.70 4.5 84 75 75 -9 6 Night Ruler 3 60.0 6 5.20 4.5 86 85 85 -1 7 Weather King 2 57.0 7 6.70 0.0 89 88 88 -1 8 Ignatius 2 54.0 8 7.00 0.0 75 82 82 +7 9 Mohandas 3 54.5 9 8.50 4.5 75 74 74 -1 10 Tamarisk Tree 5 58.5 10 16.75 0.0 84 91 91 +7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katsu | 75 | 81 | 73 | +8 | 4.5 | - | |
| 2 | Time For Love | 82 | 105 | 81 | +24 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Prevalence | 80 | 83 | 83 | ✓ Match | 4.5 | - | |
| 4 | Gentleman Joe Line | 86 | 83 | 86 | -3 | 4.5 | ||
| 5 | Supreme Dream | 84 | 83 | 75 | +8 | 4.5 | - | |
| 6 | Night Ruler | 86 | 75 | 85 | -10 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Weather King | 89 | 89 | 88 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Ignatius | 75 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Mohandas | 75 | 64 | 74 | -10 | 4.5 | - | |
| 10 | Tamarisk Tree | 84 | 105 | 91 | +14 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points