Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MAIDEN JUVENILE PLATE (For 2 yo R100 000 Win BSA / CRS Bonus)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Taxi To The Moon 3 60.0 1 0.00 3.5 - - - +0 2 Don't Cry For Me 3 60.0 2 0.50 3.5 - - - +0 3 Wild At War 3 60.0 3 0.55 3.5 - - - +0 4 It's Personal 3 56.0 4 10.50 3.5 - - - +0 5 Messalina 3 57.5 5 10.55 3.5 - - - +0 6 Primal Fear 2 60.0 6 17.50 2.5 - - - +0 7 Prince Of Miracles 2 60.0 7 21.00 2.5 - - - +0 8 Blurred Vision 3 60.0 8 22.50 3.5 - - - +0 9 Red Crest 2 60.0 9 25.50 2.5 - - - +0 10 Red Summit 2 60.0 10 30.50 2.5 - - - +0 99 Willowild 2 57.5 99 0.00 2.5 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taxi To The Moon | - | 119 | - | +119 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Don't Cry For Me | - | 103 | - | +103 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Wild At War | - | 92 | - | +92 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | It's Personal | - | 85 | - | +85 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Messalina | - | 71 | - | +71 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Primal Fear | - | 51 | - | +51 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Prince Of Miracles | - | 58 | - | +58 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Blurred Vision | - | 56 | - | +56 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Red Crest | - | - | - | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Red Summit | - | - | - | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Willowild | - | 73 | - | - | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points