Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING TUESDAY 19 MARCH FM 76 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Ode To The Ocean
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 20
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 20
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 20
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 War Queen 2 59.5 1 0.00 2.5 80 75 80 +0 2 Miss Hannigan 4 58.5 2 2.00 4.0 78 70 70 -8 3 Ode To The Ocean 2 57.0 3 2.25 2.5 70 70 70 +0 4 Lollapalooza 3 60.5 4 3.50 3.5 77 75 75 -2 5 Samoa 10 53.5 5 3.75 0.0 63 68 68 +5 6 Empress Game 3 53.5 6 4.25 3.5 63 61 61 -2 7 Lady Elliot 2 53.5 7 4.50 2.5 76 63 66 -10 8 Lucy In The Sky 4 61.5 8 5.50 4.0 79 76 76 -3 9 Simply Magic 3 54.0 9 6.40 3.5 64 62 62 -2 10 Radu 5 60.5 10 6.50 0.0 77 82 82 +5 11 Dhow Solo 3 59.5 11 7.00 3.5 80 73 73 -7 12 Ashanti Sword 2 53.0 12 7.25 2.5 62 62 62 +0 13 Micke's Bomb 4 57.5 13 7.30 4.0 79 68 69 -10 14 Southern Style 5 50.0 14 8.50 0.0 64 61 61 -3 15 Dakota Cat 2 60.0 15 8.75 2.5 81 76 76 -5 16 Cue The Rebel 2 58.0 16 11.75 2.5 77 72 72 -5 17 Life Lesson 3 54.0 17 14.50 3.5 69 62 62 -7 18 Time For Charity 5 58.0 18 31.50 0.0 72 77 77 +5 99 Winter Path 2 59.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 74 74 +0 99 Divine Moonlight 4 60.0 99 0.00 4.0 - 73 73 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | War Queen | 80 | 84 | 80 | +4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Miss Hannigan | 78 | 100 | 70 | +30 | 4.0 | - | |
| 3 | Ode To The Ocean Line | 70 | 62 | 70 | -8 | 2.5 | ||
| 4 | Lollapalooza | 77 | 74 | 75 | -1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Samoa | 63 | 64 | 68 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Empress Game | 63 | 61 | 61 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Lady Elliot | 76 | 71 | 66 | +5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Lucy In The Sky | 79 | 74 | 76 | -2 | 4.0 | - | |
| 9 | Simply Magic | 64 | 67 | 62 | +5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Radu | 77 | 64 | 82 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Dhow Solo | 80 | 62 | 73 | -11 | 3.5 | - | |
| 12 | Ashanti Sword | 62 | 52 | 62 | -10 | 2.5 | - | |
| 13 | Micke's Bomb | 79 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 4.0 | - | |
| 14 | Southern Style | 64 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 15 | Dakota Cat | 81 | 61 | 76 | -15 | 2.5 | - | |
| 16 | Cue The Rebel | 77 | 62 | 72 | -10 | 2.5 | - | |
| 17 | Life Lesson | 69 | 49 | 62 | -13 | 3.5 | - | |
| 18 | Time For Charity | 72 | 61 | 77 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Winter Path | - | 79 | 74 | +5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Divine Moonlight | - | 75 | 73 | +2 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points