Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: 4RACING.TV OPEN MAIDEN (For Maiden R15 000 Win Bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Elusive Mata
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Sun Spectacular 4 59.5 1 0.00 1.5 76 72 70 -6 2 Elusive Mata 4 54.5 2 1.25 1.5 66 66 66 +0 3 Run For Me 2 59.0 3 1.75 0.0 64 77 77 +13 4 Sundrop 6 53.0 4 6.25 0.0 50 62 62 +12 5 'O Captain 2 54.5 5 9.50 0.0 61 65 65 +4 6 Equilibrium 2 55.0 6 9.75 0.0 70 66 66 -4 7 Mentality Monster 3 57.0 7 9.85 3.0 66 64 64 -2 8 Come On You Spurs 2 53.0 8 10.60 0.0 52 62 62 +10 9 Jet Bund 2 60.0 9 10.85 0.0 72 76 76 +4 10 Hat's Miracle 2 52.5 10 11.60 0.0 62 61 61 -1 11 Azimuth 3 53.0 11 11.85 3.0 62 56 56 -6 12 Ntombencane 3 53.0 12 18.60 3.0 40 56 56 +16 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sun Spectacular | 76 | 69 | 70 | -1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Elusive Mata Line | 66 | 58 | 66 | -8 | 1.5 | ||
| 3 | Run For Me | 64 | 65 | 77 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Sundrop | 50 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | 'O Captain | 61 | 52 | 65 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Equilibrium | 70 | 65 | 66 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Mentality Monster | 66 | 61 | 64 | -3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Come On You Spurs | 52 | 51 | 62 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Jet Bund | 72 | 64 | 76 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Hat's Miracle | 62 | 59 | 61 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Azimuth | 62 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 12 | Ntombencane | 40 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points