Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING TUESDAY 12 MARCH MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Joyous Jubilee (AUS)
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Georgie George 3 56.5 1 0.00 3.5 59 57 59 +0 2 Ferrando 3 60.0 2 0.50 3.5 66 64 64 -2 3 Joyous Jubilee (AUS 2 56.5 3 1.75 2.5 59 59 59 +0 4 Bennelong Point 2 58.0 4 2.00 2.5 62 62 62 +0 5 Jackson Misissippi 6 50.5 5 2.75 0.0 48 52 52 +4 6 Arturo 2 55.5 6 3.25 2.5 62 57 57 -5 7 War Launch 2 57.0 7 4.25 2.5 65 60 60 -5 8 Mr Bodacious 2 60.5 8 5.00 2.5 67 67 67 +0 9 Father's Frost 7 59.0 9 11.25 0.0 67 69 69 +2 10 Absolu Noir 8 52.0 10 11.30 0.0 47 55 55 +8 11 Jaquar Cat 3 52.5 11 12.55 3.5 48 49 49 +1 12 Cool Runnings 4 58.0 12 12.60 4.0 62 59 59 -3 99 Russian Empire 5 58.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 68 68 +0 99 Warm Winter Nite 2 60.5 99 0.00 2.5 - 67 67 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Georgie George | 59 | 63 | 59 | +4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Ferrando | 66 | 74 | 64 | +10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Joyous Jubilee (AUS) Line | 59 | 61 | 59 | +2 | 2.5 | ||
| 4 | Bennelong Point | 62 | 58 | 62 | -4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Jackson Misissippi | 48 | 58 | 52 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Arturo | 62 | 76 | 57 | +19 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | War Launch | 65 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Mr Bodacious | 67 | 65 | 67 | -2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Father's Frost | 67 | 62 | 69 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Absolu Noir | 47 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Jaquar Cat | 48 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 12 | Cool Runnings | 62 | 60 | 59 | +1 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Russian Empire | - | 53 | 68 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Warm Winter Nite | - | 92 | 67 | +25 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points