Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 3 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 94)
Line Horse
Gimmelightning
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Meu Capitano 4 56.5 1 0.00 4.0 92 89 89 -3 2 Axl 3 56.0 2 0.30 3.5 86 89 89 +3 3 Gimmelightning 2 56.5 3 0.70 2.5 92 92 92 +0 4 Sun Dazed 6 56.5 4 1.70 0.0 86 97 97 +11 5 Paratrooper 4 55.5 5 2.00 4.0 90 87 87 -3 6 Captain Arrow 2 61.5 6 3.25 2.5 102 102 102 +0 7 Beerenberg 2 56.5 7 3.55 2.5 87 92 92 +5 8 All About Al 7 54.0 8 4.05 0.0 82 92 92 +10 9 Usa's Hope 2 58.0 9 5.05 2.5 90 95 95 +5 10 Trippi's Silk 4 55.0 10 6.30 4.0 89 86 86 -3 11 Seeking The One 2 59.5 11 9.55 2.5 93 98 98 +5 12 Monashada 3 61.0 12 18.80 3.5 95 99 99 +4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Meu Capitano | 92 | 111 | 89 | +22 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Axl | 86 | 84 | 89 | -5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Gimmelightning Line | 92 | 95 | 92 | +3 | 2.5 | ||
| 4 | Sun Dazed | 86 | 64 | 97 | -33 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Paratrooper | 90 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Captain Arrow | 102 | 101 | 102 | -1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Beerenberg | 87 | 76 | 92 | -16 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | All About Al | 82 | 78 | 92 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Usa's Hope | 90 | 97 | 95 | +2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Trippi's Silk | 89 | 73 | 86 | -13 | 4.0 | - | |
| 11 | Seeking The One | 93 | 92 | 98 | -6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Monashada | 95 | 94 | 99 | -5 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points