Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT MEETING 26 FEB - KENILWORTH MR 86 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Captain's Knot
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Double Charge 5 58.5 1 0.00 0.0 83 98 83 +0 2 Queen's Wood 3 54.5 2 1.50 4.5 81 81 81 +0 3 Captain's Knot 3 57.5 3 2.25 4.5 87 87 87 +0 4 What A Man 5 53.5 4 2.30 0.0 73 88 88 +15 5 Ragnar Lothbrok 3 53.5 5 2.40 4.5 79 79 79 +0 6 Paper Trail 4 58.0 6 2.70 5.0 82 87 87 +5 7 Adios Amigos 4 61.0 7 3.00 5.0 88 93 93 +5 8 Moon Rock 7 58.5 8 4.50 0.0 83 98 98 +15 9 Voldemort 6 57.0 9 5.00 0.0 85 95 95 +10 10 Kalahari Ferrari 3 59.0 10 5.40 4.5 90 90 90 +0 11 Silver Salmon 3 59.5 11 14.15 4.5 91 91 91 +0 99 Captain Dizzy 4 56.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 84 84 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Double Charge | 83 | 80 | 83 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Queen's Wood | 81 | 74 | 81 | -7 | 4.5 | - | |
| 3 | Captain's Knot Line | 87 | 68 | 87 | -19 | 4.5 | ||
| 4 | What A Man | 73 | 74 | 88 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Ragnar Lothbrok | 79 | 81 | 79 | +2 | 4.5 | - | |
| 6 | Paper Trail | 82 | 60 | 87 | -27 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Adios Amigos | 88 | 55 | 93 | -38 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Moon Rock | 83 | 69 | 98 | -29 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Voldemort | 85 | 81 | 95 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Kalahari Ferrari | 90 | 87 | 90 | -3 | 4.5 | - | |
| 11 | Silver Salmon | 91 | 65 | 91 | -26 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Captain Dizzy | - | 96 | 84 | +12 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points