Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: ORMOND FERRARIS OAKS TRIAL (Listed) (For 3 year-old Fillies)
Line Horse
Mary's Greenlight
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Frances Ethel 3 57.0 1 0.00 4.5 88 82 82 -6 2 Sukhumvit 3 57.0 2 1.20 4.5 88 88 88 +0 3 Darling Harbour 4 54.0 3 1.40 2.0 78 86 86 +8 4 Mary's Greenlight 4 60.0 4 1.45 2.0 98 98 98 +0 5 Azaleas For All 4 54.0 5 1.70 2.0 78 86 86 +8 6 One Religion 2 52.5 6 2.75 0.0 72 85 85 +13 7 Forgiveness 4 57.0 7 2.85 2.0 85 90 90 +5 8 Crimson Forest 3 54.0 8 3.10 4.5 79 79 79 +0 9 Damostar 4 60.0 9 3.75 2.0 96 95 95 -1 10 Kadizora 4 55.5 10 5.50 2.0 81 84 84 +3 11 Explosive Bond 4 58.5 11 7.00 2.0 90 90 90 +0 12 Be Real 2 54.0 12 10.25 0.0 76 85 85 +9 13 Mount Etna 4 55.5 13 14.25 2.0 83 84 84 +1 99 Patches Of Grey 4 54.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 81 81 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Frances Ethel | 88 | 117 | 82 | +35 | 4.5 | - | |
| 2 | Sukhumvit | 88 | 100 | 88 | +12 | 4.5 | - | |
| 3 | Darling Harbour | 78 | 60 | 86 | -26 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Mary's Greenlight Line | 98 | 103 | 98 | +5 | 2.0 | ||
| 5 | Azaleas For All | 78 | 82 | 86 | -4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | One Religion | 72 | 78 | 85 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Forgiveness | 85 | 94 | 90 | +4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Crimson Forest | 79 | 71 | 79 | -8 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | Damostar | 96 | 91 | 95 | -4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Kadizora | 81 | 72 | 84 | -12 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Explosive Bond | 90 | 94 | 90 | +4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | Be Real | 76 | 71 | 85 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Mount Etna | 83 | 79 | 84 | -5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Patches Of Grey | - | 62 | 81 | -19 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points